Gold heads for best week in five on Fed rate pause bets

(Reuters) – Gold eased on Friday on a stronger dollar and higher yields but was set for its best week since early May after weaker jobs data bolstered bets for the Federal Reserve to hold pat on interest rates next week.

Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,961.39 per ounce by 3:15 p.m. EDT (1915 GMT). But it is headed for a 0.7% weekly climb, helped by a 1.5% jump on Thursday after a surge in U.S. weekly jobless claims.

U.S. gold futures settled down 0.1% to $1,977.20.

“Gold is oscillating in a $1,940-$1,990 range and is likely to remain so until inflation data and the Fed result next week,” said Tai Wong, a New York-based independent metals trader, adding that bullion remains “more sensitive to weak or dovish economic data.”

The dollar index bounced off two-week lows, making gold expensive for overseas buyers, while higher 10-year Treasury yields made zero-yield bullion less attractive.

Markets now priced in a 72% chance of the Fed standing pat next week, but odds of a hike in July were 67%, the CME Fedwatch tool showed.

Traders braced for the U.S. inflation report for May due on Tuesday, a day before the Fed announces its policy decision.

China raised its gold reserves for a seventh straight month to 67.27 million fine troy ounces by May-end.

Standard Chartered analyst Suki Cooper noted “a sharp increase in the number of central banks looking to add gold in the next five years.”

Palladium, used in emissions-controlling devices in cars, plunged to its lowest since May 2019, hovering at $1,324.

“Palladium has slumped to four-year lows after weak U.S. and Chinese data and appears to be headed for a new, lower range,” Wong said.

Silver rose 0.1% to $24.26 per ounce and eyed its best week since early April, while platinum fell 0.1% to $1,009.30.